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Tag Archives: bias
Voter ID Laws and Biased Information from Local Election Officials
What Do I Need to Vote? Bias in Information Provision by Local Election Officials Abstract The adoption of voter identification (ID) requirements has raised concerns that these laws differentially reduce turnout among minorities. We use a field experiment to investigate … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Government
Tagged bias, discrimination, elections, government, local election administrators, voter ID, voting requirements
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ALEC ‘Report Card’ Gets ‘A’ for Ideological Fealty, Fails on Research Quality
ALEC ‘Report Card’ Gets ‘A’ for Ideological Fealty, Fails on Research Quality “In fact, the research ALEC highlights is quite shoddy and is unsuitable for supporting its recommendations,” Lubienski and Jameson conclude. “The report’s purpose appears to be more about shifting … Continue reading
Posted in Secondary Education
Tagged ALEC, American Legislative Exchange Council, bias, education, ideology, privatization
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Three Respected Forecasting Model Predictions
It’s a day before the election so let’s look at three of the most respected models which predict the presidential election outcome. We’ll conclude by asking why the models might fail to accurately predict the outcome. I. Nate Silver’s Forecast … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Government, Science
Tagged bias, elections, electoral college, forecast, misspecification, models, Nate Silver, Obama, popular vote, Presidential election, Romney, Sam Wang, sampling, Votamatic, voter suppression
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The Anti-Science, Anti-, Fact Crowd Now Attacks Nate Silver
Well, the anti-science, anti-fact group is at it again. This time their target is Nate Silver, the turned baseball statistician/forecaster to political campaign predictor. It appears that because Silver’s data shows President Obama has a higher probability at winning the … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Science
Tagged bias, elections, forecasts, Obama, polls, predictions, probabilities, Romney, Silver
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Cell Phones and the Distortion of Polling Predictions
Alternate Title: Cell Phones Could Significantly Alter Polling Predictions I won’t be surprised to see some remarkable divergence from what the polls suggest in national and state elections and outcomes on November 6. Why? The short answer is polling conclusions are … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Government, Science
Tagged bias, cell phones, demographics, landlines, polls, pollsters, undersampling
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