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Tag Archives: models
Three Respected Forecasting Model Predictions
It’s a day before the election so let’s look at three of the most respected models which predict the presidential election outcome. We’ll conclude by asking why the models might fail to accurately predict the outcome. I. Nate Silver’s Forecast … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Government, Science
Tagged bias, elections, electoral college, forecast, misspecification, models, Nate Silver, Obama, popular vote, Presidential election, Romney, Sam Wang, sampling, Votamatic, voter suppression
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Who’s Really Leading? A Comprehensive Look
Who’s winning the presidential race right now? Ezra Klein breaks it down by national polls, state polls, models, ground game, enthusiasm, early voting and momentum. Via Ezra Klein Where the 2012 presidential election is right now National polls: Mitt Romney has held a slight but persistent lead … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Government, Presidential Leadership, Science
Tagged early voting, elections, enthusiasm, ground game, models, momentum, national polls, Obama, Romney, state polls
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The Stimulus Act: Successes and Failures
The nation’s stimulus act has been criticized by many for good reasons. We still have far too many people unemployed and underemployed. Economic growth is anemic. Recent college graduates have been particularly hard hit, not only are many graduates without … Continue reading
Posted in Economy, Presidential Leadership
Tagged debt, GDP, jobs, Keynesian economics, models, recovery act, stimulus, unemployment
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