Tag Archives: odds

Motorcycle Helmets and Fatality Risks

Abstract Between 1997 and 2005, the number of annual motorcyclist fatalities doubled. Motorcyclist fatalities now account for over 10 percent of all traffic-related fatalities. However, over the last three decades, states have generally been eliminating laws that require helmet use … Continue reading

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Your Chances of Filling Out a Perfect March Madness Bracket are 1 in 9.2 Quintrillion

Via Visula.ly The Games! The Upsets! The Madness! infographic by jrayvision.  

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To Helmet or Not? Yes, If You Value Your Brain!

To helmet or not? That is the question and if my fellow motorcyclists value their brains they will adhere to the evidence and wear their helmets. Here’s the bottom line. Motorcyclists involved in an accident without  a helmet are 2.9 … Continue reading

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Happiness and Marriage: A Multinomial Logistic Regression

If you want to improve the probability of being “Very Happy” get and stay married. That’s the major takeaway from my latest study on happiness.  But there are surprises for individuals who are “Pretty Happy” and “Not too Happy.” Some … Continue reading

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Your Odds of Needing to Use Your Handgun for Self-Protection

Your Odds of Needing to Use Your Handgun for Self-Protection “Many police officers reach the end of their careers without ever drawing—much less firing—a gun in the line of duty. The odds against your ever needing to use your gun … Continue reading

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Life Expectancy and Infant Mortality: The Key Role of Education

Sometimes I think we take for granted the huge benefits and importance of education. Let’s look at the association of education with two important life chances: infant mortality and life expectancy. To demonstrate the association of education with life expectancy … Continue reading

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Unique Methodology Applied to the Electoral College Outcome

Study: 512 Unique Pathways Now to Win Presidency I’ve identified another electoral forecaster who uses a different and unique methodology than the better known forecasters – Nate Silver, Votamatic or Sam Wang. (See “Three Highly Rated Electoral College Predictions.”) Gabriel … Continue reading

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Odds of Enjoying an Above Median Income

Yesterday I gave a presentation to a group of post-secondary educators. One of the follow-up questions dealt with the issue, “Is higher education worth it?” This question called out a research study I completed in 2010 of variables related to … Continue reading

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Graduation Odds and Probabilities among Baccalaureate Colleges and Universities

My latest article, “Graduation Odds and Probabilities among Baccalaureate Colleges and Universities“, is published in the recent quarterly Journal of College Student Retention: Research, Theory and Practice. Here’s the abstract. Graduation outcomes are analyzed at public and private baccalaureate colleges … Continue reading

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If Science Told You the Odds of What Just Happened with Temperature Was 1 in 1,594,323 Would It Matter?

NOAA has calculated the odds for what has happened to temperatures during the past year: “During the June 2011-June 2012 period, each of the 13 consecutive months ranked among the warmest third of their historical distribution for the first time … Continue reading

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