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Tag Archives: polls
Anti-Fact Ideology Confronts Reality: Is It a Teachable Moment?
Does the Nate Silver experience provide a teachable moment for Fox News viewers? Recall Silver was pilloried by the right-wing because his analysis demonstrated that President Obama had over a 90% probability of winning the election. In the Fox News anti-fact … Continue reading
Posted in Climate, Economy, Elections, Science
Tagged anti-fact, anti-intellectual, anti-science, culture, Enlightenment, evidence, Fox News, ideology, Limbaugh, polls, science
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Friday’s Polling of 22 Swing States: Obama Leads in 19
“There were 22 polls of swing states published Friday. Of these, Mr. Obama led in 19 polls, and two showed a tie. Mitt Romney led in just one of the surveys, a Mason-Dixon poll of Florida.” Source: Nate Silver’s 538 … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Government, Science
Tagged 538, election, Obama, polls, Silver, states
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The Anti-Science, Anti-, Fact Crowd Now Attacks Nate Silver
Well, the anti-science, anti-fact group is at it again. This time their target is Nate Silver, the turned baseball statistician/forecaster to political campaign predictor. It appears that because Silver’s data shows President Obama has a higher probability at winning the … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Science
Tagged bias, elections, forecasts, Obama, polls, predictions, probabilities, Romney, Silver
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Some Humble Advice on Polling
I’ve been writing about polling the last few days. Here I’m offering some humble advice. Watch the state poll trends. Here’s why. National polls predict the popular vote. Important? Yes, but the popular vote doesn’t determine who the next President … Continue reading
Posted in Elections
Tagged elections, electoral college, government, national polling, polls, popular vote, prediction, state polling
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Cell Phones and the Distortion of Polling Predictions
Alternate Title: Cell Phones Could Significantly Alter Polling Predictions I won’t be surprised to see some remarkable divergence from what the polls suggest in national and state elections and outcomes on November 6. Why? The short answer is polling conclusions are … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Government, Science
Tagged bias, cell phones, demographics, landlines, polls, pollsters, undersampling
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Who Won the Third Debate? A Quick Look at Early Polls
A quick look at three polls on last night’s presidential debate. I. Public Policy Polling: Obama Wins Debate by 11 Points in Swing States “PPP’s post debate poll in the swing states, conducted on behalf of Americans United for Change, finds … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Presidential Leadership
Tagged elections, government, Obama, polls, Romney
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Voter Suppression and Income Inequality Equals Low Voter Turnout During Elections
Bryce Covert at The Nation identifies two reasons accounting for low voter turnout of low-income people at the polls. “GOP’s relentless campaign to roll back voting rights in the name of eliminating the (mostly imaginary) threat of fraud. Many of … Continue reading
USA Today Coaches Poll Reflects More than Football Merit
Another piece of evidence why the college football ranking system needs to change. Here’s an abstract of a study by Matthew Kotchen and Matthew Potoski, National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper No. 17628, issued in November 2011. Abstract: “Conflicts … Continue reading
Polls Reveal Americans Desire Action on Inequality
Americans Favor Action on Inequality Recent polls summarized by the Center for American Progress, taken together, reveal Americans want action on growing inequality in America. The NBC/Wall Street Journal recent poll reveals Americans want action resolving growing polarization in income … Continue reading
Posted in Economy, Income Distribution, Inequality, Wealth
Tagged income distribution, inequality, polls, wealth
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