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Tag Archives: Romney
Minority Turnout Determined the 2012 Election
Via Brookings Institution: “While it may seem like the 2012 presidential election has been analyzed to death, the recent release of the Census Bureau’s November election survey points out the key role that minority voter turnout, especially for blacks, played … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Government
Tagged blacks, elections, government, Hispanics, Obama, race, Romney
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Predicting Obama Victory in Each County with the Gini Coefficient
Now that the presidential election is over there’s a lot of reflection and analysis of the electoral and popular vote. Some of the presidential campaign disagreements centered around income inequality yet I fail to see any analysis of the impact … Continue reading
What if the US Map was Sized by the Number of Presidential Votes in Each State
You’ve probably seen this map of the 2012 electoral college vote by State. What if the map was sized by the number of presidential votes in each State and then color coded red or blue. The map then looks like … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Government
Tagged cartogram, elections, electoral college, map, Obama, popular vote, Presidential election, Romney
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Presidential Outcome Votes that Debunk Conventional Wisdom
Here are two voting patterns that debunk conventional wisdom. I. Obama Wins 8 of the Nation’s 10 Wealthiest Counties CNBC concludes, “President Barack Obama was favored over multimillionaire businessman Mitt Romney in eight of the nation’s 10 wealthiest counties.” Here’s a … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Government, Socio-economic Status, Taxes, Wealth
Tagged counties, elections, Obama, Presidential election, Romney, wealth
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Thoughts on the “Big Losers” in the Presidential Election
Pundits will be examining the 2012 presidential election for years. A few quick thoughts on the big losers last night: GOP Nomination Process Current GOP Brand Carl Rove’s Big Money Strategy Saturated Advertising Prevarication Fox News Prejudice Birthers ‘Obama is a … Continue reading
Three Respected Forecasting Model Predictions
It’s a day before the election so let’s look at three of the most respected models which predict the presidential election outcome. We’ll conclude by asking why the models might fail to accurately predict the outcome. I. Nate Silver’s Forecast … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Government, Science
Tagged bias, elections, electoral college, forecast, misspecification, models, Nate Silver, Obama, popular vote, Presidential election, Romney, Sam Wang, sampling, Votamatic, voter suppression
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Do Political Field Office Advantages Matter?
The conventional wisdom is in a close political campaign the winner goes to the campaign that has the best “ground game” to get out the vote. The corollary to this proposition is the campaign with the greatest number of field offices … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Government
Tagged elections, field offices, Obama, Romney, states, votes
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The Economist on Romney: “Mr Romney is still in the cloud-cuckoo-land of thinking”
The Economist is an international publication with its first publication in 1843. Here’s what The Economist has to say about Romney’s economics: “Yet far from being the voice of fiscal prudence, Mr Romney wants to start with huge tax cuts … Continue reading
Posted in Economy, Elections, Government, Presidential Leadership, Wealth
Tagged defense spending, economics, economy, endorsement, entitlement reform, Romney, Simpson-Bowles, tax cuts, The Economist, wealthy
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Nobel Economist, Stiglitz, Says “Romney’s Plan is Based on Magic”
Nobel winning economist Joseph Stiglitz on Romney’s economic policies: “The budget cuts that Romney/Ryan propose will certainly slow growth. If the European downturn continues that could tip us into a recession. The cuts certainly won’t provide the kind of stimulus … Continue reading
Posted in Economy, Elections, Income Distribution, Inequality, Presidential Leadership, Taxes
Tagged arithmetic, austerity, debt, economic growth, education, GDP, inequality, infrastructure, macroeconomics, magic, Romney, Ryan, Stiglitz, tax cuts
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Silver Prediction: Obama 300.4, Romney 237.6 Electoral Votes as of Nov.1
Update: As of November 1, Silver predicts Obama will receive 300.4 electoral votes compared to Romney’s 237.6. Recall, 270 electoral votes are needed to win the presidency.
Posted in Elections, Government, Science
Tagged electoral college, forecast, Obama, presidency, Romney, Silver
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