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Tag Archives: Votamatic
Three Respected Forecasting Model Predictions
It’s a day before the election so let’s look at three of the most respected models which predict the presidential election outcome. We’ll conclude by asking why the models might fail to accurately predict the outcome. I. Nate Silver’s Forecast … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Government, Science
Tagged bias, elections, electoral college, forecast, misspecification, models, Nate Silver, Obama, popular vote, Presidential election, Romney, Sam Wang, sampling, Votamatic, voter suppression
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Unique Methodology Applied to the Electoral College Outcome
Study: 512 Unique Pathways Now to Win Presidency I’ve identified another electoral forecaster who uses a different and unique methodology than the better known forecasters – Nate Silver, Votamatic or Sam Wang. (See “Three Highly Rated Electoral College Predictions.”) Gabriel … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Government
Tagged elections, electoral college, forecast, Nate Silver, Obama, odds, Presidential election, Romney, Sam Wang, Synder, Votamatic
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Three Highly Rated Electoral College Predictions
Nate Silver, known for accurate election forecasts, now has President Obama moving up again in the odds of winning the electoral and popular votes. Obama is predicted to receive 292.7 electoral votes to Romney’s 245.3. His chance of winning the … Continue reading
Posted in Elections, Government
Tagged elections, electoral college, forecast, Nate Silver, Obama, popular vote, Presidential election, Romney, Sam Wang, Votamatic
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